TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Medjedovic vs Y. Hanfmann (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Medjedovic favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Medjedovic | Y. Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.3% | 24.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.3% | 45.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.0% | 38.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Medjedovic | clay | 1875 | 100–43 | 143 |
| Y. Hanfmann | clay | 1810 | 123–82 | 205 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 27, 2026.
H. Medjedovic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | H. Medjedovic | 3 - 1 |
| July 21, 2023 | ATP Gstaad | clay | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Ofner | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 1 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 3 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Bonzi | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Baez | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used