TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Medjedovic vs V. Royer (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with H. Medjedovic favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Medjedovic | V. Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.8% | 28.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.8% | 32.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.7% | 34.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Medjedovic | clay | 1875 | 100–43 | 143 |
| V. Royer | clay | 1705 | 144–71 | 215 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 27, 2026.
H. Medjedovic leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Rome | clay | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| April 10, 2022 | M15 Antalya 9 | clay | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| April 2, 2022 | M15 Antalya 8 | clay | H. Medjedovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Ofner | 2 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | U. Humbert | 1 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 3 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Neuchrist | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used