TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Baptiste vs B. Krejcikova (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Baptiste favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Baptiste | B. Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.0% | 23.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Baptiste | hard | 1779 | 96–83 | 179 |
| B. Krejcikova | hard | 1893 | 82–51 | 133 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 26, 2026.
H. Baptiste leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | H. Baptiste | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 9, 2024 | WTA Wuhan | hard | H. Baptiste | 2 - 0 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 0 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | May 10, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | May 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | April 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used