TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in G. Mpetshi Perricard vs N. Djokovic (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with N. Djokovic favoured at 1.17.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | G. Mpetshi Perricard | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.9% | 73.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.1% | 81.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.0% | 77.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.7% | 81.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Mpetshi Perricard | hard | 1695 | 83–72 | 155 |
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2085 | 127–26 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
N. Djokovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | N. Djokovic | 3 - 1 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | R. Bautista-Agut | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | C. Moutet | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | June 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used