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F. Cina vs R. Opelka — Prediction & Analysis

French Open · ATP French Open - 1/64-finals · May 24, 2026 · 14:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Cina vs R. Opelka (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with F. Cina favoured at 1.59.

Surface clay Odds F. Cina 1.59 · R. Opelka 2.51

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: F. Cina · R. Opelka · head-to-head record · French Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method F. Cina R. Opelka
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
66.9% 33.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.0% 40.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
63.4% 36.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
61.2% 38.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
F. Cina hard1683 55–3590
R. Opelka hard1796 71–58129

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.

Head to head

F. Cina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 24, 2026French OpenclayF. Cina3 - 2

Recent form

F. Cina

W E. Ymer 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
L F. Diaz Acosta 2 - 1 July 20, 2026
W L. Giustino 2 - 0 July 19, 2026
W D. Michalski 2 - 1 July 18, 2026
L Q. Halys 1 - 2 July 14, 2026

R. Opelka

L F. Cina 3 - 2 May 24, 2026
L N. Budkov Kjaer 0 - 0 April 23, 2026
L E. Quinn 0 - 2 April 13, 2026
L T. Fritz 0 - 2 March 22, 2026
W J. Draper 0 - 2 March 20, 2026

All May 24, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used