F. Auger-Aliassime vs M. Fucsovics — Prediction & Analysis

Hertogenbosch · ATP Hertogenbosch - 1/8-finals · June 11, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs M. Fucsovics (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.36.

Surface grass Odds F. Auger-Aliassime 1.36 · M. Fucsovics 3.00

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.

Profiles: F. Auger-Aliassime · M. Fucsovics · head-to-head record · Hertogenbosch

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method	F. Auger-Aliassime	M. Fucsovics
Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted	47.8%	52.2%
Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model	66.2%	33.8%
Blend what the bot actually prices off	57.0%	43.0%
Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds	68.8%	31.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

Player	Surface	Elo	Record	Matches
F. Auger-Aliassime	hard	1996	169–85	254
M. Fucsovics	hard	1755	95–76	171

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.

Head to head

F. Auger-Aliassime leads 4–1 over 5 meetings. Full record.

Date	Event	Surface	Winner	Score
June 11, 2026	Hertogenbosch	grass	F. Auger-Aliassime	2 - 0
March 21, 2026	Miami	hard	F. Auger-Aliassime	2 - 0
Oct. 16, 2024	Antwerp	hard	F. Auger-Aliassime	2 - 1
Oct. 6, 2023	ATP Shanghai	hard	M. Fucsovics	2 - 1
Aug. 16, 2021	Cincinnati	hard	F. Auger-Aliassime	2 - 0

Recent form