TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs A. Bondar (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with E. Svitolina favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | A. Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.5% | 51.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.3% | 15.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| A. Bondar | clay | 1803 | 164–88 | 252 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
E. Svitolina leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 |
| April 23, 2026 | Madrid | clay | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 26, 2025 | US Open | hard | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 |
| June 30, 2025 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| May 28, 2025 | French Open | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Noha Akugue | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used