TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Raducanu vs S. Sierra (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with S. Sierra favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Raducanu | S. Sierra |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
22.7% | 77.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.0% | 85.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.6% | 73.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.0% | 57.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Raducanu | hard | 1737 | 66–51 | 117 |
| S. Sierra | clay | 1799 | 152–59 | 211 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 9, 2026.
S. Sierra leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Sierra | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | June 9, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Prozorova | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used