TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Navarro vs J. Tjen (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with E. Navarro favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Navarro | J. Tjen |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
79.0% | 21.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.8% | 35.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.9% | 28.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Navarro | hard | 1713 | 86–63 | 149 |
| J. Tjen | hard | 1759 | 106–31 | 137 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
E. Navarro leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used