TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Vekic vs A. Tubello (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with D. Vekic favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Vekic | A. Tubello |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.8% | 72.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vekic | hard | 1697 | 72–72 | 144 |
| A. Tubello | clay | 1578 | 93–43 | 136 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2026.
D. Vekic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Okutoyi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ren | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Soboleva | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used