TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Shnaider vs R. Zarazua (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with D. Shnaider favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | R. Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
76.0% | 24.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.4% | 71.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
84.4% | 15.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1841 | 98–62 | 160 |
| R. Zarazua | hard | 1720 | 110–84 | 194 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
D. Shnaider leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Lys | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used