TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Gauff vs A. Potapova (French Open on 2026-05-30) — the market is efficient, with C. Gauff favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Gauff | A. Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
76.0% | 24.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.2% | 64.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.0% | 43.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.9% | 28.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gauff | hard | 2045 | 155–60 | 215 |
| A. Potapova | hard | 1713 | 81–83 | 164 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 28, 2026.
A. Potapova leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Potapova | 2 - 1 |
| April 20, 2023 | WTA Stuttgart | clay | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 |
| March 25, 2023 | WTA Miami | hard | A. Potapova | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 12, 2021 | Montreal | hard | C. Gauff | 0 - 0 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Liu | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 1 | June 11, 2026 |
All May 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used