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B. Bonzi vs A. Zverev — Prediction & Analysis

French Open · ATP French Open - 1/64-finals · May 24, 2026 · 11:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Bonzi vs A. Zverev (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Zverev favoured at 1.04.

Surface clay Odds B. Bonzi 13.00 · A. Zverev 1.04

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: B. Bonzi · A. Zverev · head-to-head record · French Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method B. Bonzi A. Zverev
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
12.5% 87.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
13.3% 86.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
34.5% 65.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
20.1% 79.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
7.4% 92.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
B. Bonzi hard1746 163–94257
A. Zverev hard2032 173–66239

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.

Head to head

A. Zverev leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 24, 2026French OpenclayA. Zverev3 - 0

Recent form

B. Bonzi

L Y. Hanfmann 1 - 2 Aug. 3, 2026
W H. Dellien 2 - 0 Aug. 1, 2026
L J. D. Hara Friend 1 - 2 July 30, 2026
W M. Mmoh 2 - 0 July 29, 2026
W B. Bicknell 2 - 1 July 28, 2026

A. Zverev

L J. Sinner 3 - 1 July 12, 2026
W A. Fery 0 - 3 July 10, 2026
W T. Fritz 0 - 3 July 8, 2026
W J. Lehecka 1 - 3 July 7, 2026
W M. Giron 0 - 3 July 4, 2026

All May 24, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used