TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Walton vs D. Medvedev (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with D. Medvedev favoured at 1.05.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Walton | D. Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
16.7% | 83.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.6% | 80.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
18.1% | 81.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
8.7% | 91.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Walton | hard | 1748 | 206–117 | 323 |
| D. Medvedev | hard | 1994 | 207–77 | 284 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
A. Walton leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Walton | 3 - 2 |
| Oct. 16, 2025 | Almaty | hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 10, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Walton | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Svrcina | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Kokkinakis | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 1 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Cilic | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | T. Atmane | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used