TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tomljanovic vs D. Yastremska (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-11) — the market is efficient, with D. Yastremska favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tomljanovic | D. Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.2% | 72.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1707 | 86–81 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | WTA French Open | clay | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 22, 2019 | Wuhan | hard | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All June 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used