TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tomljanovic vs C. McNally (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with C. McNally favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tomljanovic | C. McNally |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.9% | 66.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
14.7% | 85.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.7% | 70.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.8% | 76.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
| C. McNally | hard | 1736 | 85–66 | 151 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
C. McNally leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 13, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 0 |
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. McNally | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 23, 2025 | Guangzhou | hard | C. McNally | 2 - 1 |
| March 6, 2025 | Indian Wells | hard | C. McNally | 1 - 0 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ma | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used