TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tabilo vs K. Majchrzak (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Tabilo favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tabilo | K. Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
74.3% | 25.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.0% | 37.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
74.6% | 25.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tabilo | clay | 1825 | 125–68 | 193 |
| K. Majchrzak | hard | 1740 | 93–57 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
A. Tabilo leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | K. Majchrzak | 3 - 0 |
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 29, 2022 | US Open | hard | A. Tabilo | 3 - 1 |
| L | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Atmane | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Torres | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | G. Monfils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used