TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Shevchenko vs A. Michelsen (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Michelsen favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Shevchenko | A. Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.4% | 24.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
67.5% | 32.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shevchenko | clay | 1681 | 128–89 | 217 |
| A. Michelsen | hard | 1895 | 148–85 | 233 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
A. Michelsen leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Michelsen | 3 - 0 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. McDonald | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used