TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Parks vs L. Fernandez (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with L. Fernandez favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Parks | L. Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.5% | 74.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.4% | 43.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.1% | 78.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Parks | hard | 1714 | 104–98 | 202 |
| L. Fernandez | hard | 1804 | 119–82 | 201 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Parks leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Parks | 2 - 0 |
| March 20, 2025 | Miami | hard | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 17, 2024 | WTA Australian Open | hard | A. Parks | 2 - 0 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Grammatikopoulou | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 1 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used