TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Li vs S. Zhang (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Li favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Li | S. Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.5% | 22.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
80.0% | 20.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.6% | 31.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.4% | 24.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.9% | 28.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
A. Li leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Li | 2 - 0 |
| May 5, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Li | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 25, 2025 | Guangzhou | hard | A. Li | 0 - 0 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used