TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Kalinina vs D. Parry (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Kalinina favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Kalinina | D. Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.2% | 25.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.9% | 15.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.0% | 29.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.9% | 27.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kalinina | hard | 1699 | 83–69 | 152 |
| D. Parry | clay | 1663 | 105–71 | 176 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
D. Parry leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 15, 2026 | Berlin | grass | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| March 1, 2024 | WTA Austin | hard | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 |
| May 30, 2023 | WTA French Open | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| June 30, 2021 | W60 Montpellier | clay | A. Kalinina | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | K. Quevedo | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used