TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Gea (moneyline) at 2.46 in A. Gea vs J. Mensik (Shanghai on 2026-10-12). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Gea | J. Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.1% | 46.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
40.2% | 59.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.
A. Gea leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 13, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | A. Gea | 2 - 0 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | J. Mensik | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. Neumayer | 2 - 0 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →