J. Lehecka vs R. Jodar — Prediction & Analysis

Shanghai · ATP Shanghai - 1/16-finals · Oct. 12, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Lehecka (moneyline) at 1.86 in J. Lehecka vs R. Jodar (Shanghai on 2026-10-12). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds J. Lehecka 2.20 · R. Jodar 1.82

Bot bet

J. Lehecka (moneyline) @ 1.86 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Lehecka · R. Jodar · head-to-head record · Shanghai

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Lehecka R. Jodar
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
48.7% 51.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
54.1% 45.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
61.7% 38.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
54.8% 45.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
45.3% 54.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Lehecka hard1908 141–91232
R. Jodar hard1932 81–29110

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

R. Jodar leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 12, 2026ShanghaihardR. Jodar2 - 1
Aug. 9, 2026MontrealhardR. Jodar2 - 0

Recent form

J. Lehecka

L A. Michelsen 2 - 1 Nov. 3, 2026
L V. Vacherot 1 - 2 Nov. 1, 2026
W J-L. Struff 2 - 1 Oct. 31, 2026
W J. Kym 0 - 2 Oct. 30, 2026
W D. Altmaier 0 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026

R. Jodar

L C. Ruud 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
W A. Tabilo 0 - 2 Nov. 2, 2026
L V. Vacherot 2 - 1 Oct. 29, 2026
W A. Tabilo 0 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L A. Davidovich Fokina 2 - 1 Oct. 18, 2026

All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →