TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Svrcina +4.0 (game handicap) at 2.77 in D. Medvedev vs D. Svrcina (Shanghai on 2026-10-12). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Medvedev | D. Svrcina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
78.8% | 21.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.8% | 17.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.9% | 26.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
83.6% | 16.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Medvedev | hard | 2003 | 232–85 | 317 |
| D. Svrcina | hard | 1755 | 107–73 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 4, 2026.
D. Medvedev leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 4, 2025 | Shanghai | hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 |
| July 30, 2025 | Toronto | hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 |
| L | I. Buse | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | V. Sachko | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | Z. Piros | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →