TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Tsitsipas +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.10 in S. Tsitsipas vs T. Fritz (Shanghai on 2026-10-12). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Tsitsipas | T. Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.9% | 56.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.5% | 57.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tsitsipas | hard | 1881 | 150–91 | 241 |
| T. Fritz | hard | 1969 | 193–101 | 294 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
S. Tsitsipas leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 7, 2026 | ATP United Cup | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 21, 2024 | ATP Australian Open | hard | T. Fritz | 3 - 1 |
| April 14, 2023 | ATP Monte Carlo | clay | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 24, 2022 | Australian Open | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 2 |
| L | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Kukushkin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →