TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Eala vs M. Frech (Rome on 2026-05-06) — the market is efficient, with A. Eala favoured at 1.78.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Eala | M. Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.3% | 69.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.0% | 78.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.1% | 73.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.9% | 47.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Eala leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Eala | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
All May 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used