TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Davidovich Fokina vs D. Dzumhur (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Davidovich Fokina favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Davidovich Fokina | D. Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.7% | 47.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Davidovich Fokina | hard | 1851 | 107–90 | 197 |
| D. Dzumhur | clay | 1693 | 110–83 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 |
| April 6, 2021 | Marbella | clay | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 20, 2020 | Cologne 2 | hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | F. Marozsan | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | G. Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | H. Gaston | 0 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used