TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Bublik vs J-L. Struff (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Bublik favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Bublik | J-L. Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.3% | 44.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.6% | 43.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
73.7% | 26.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.9% | 38.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bublik | hard | 1879 | 111–93 | 204 |
| J-L. Struff | hard | 1666 | 77–88 | 165 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
Level at 4–4 over 8 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 10, 2026 | Stuttgart | grass | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 |
| May 26, 2026 | French Open | clay | J-L. Struff | 3 - 1 |
| Feb. 24, 2026 | Dubai | hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 12, 2026 | Rotterdam | hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 1 |
| May 30, 2024 | ATP French Open | clay | J-L. Struff | 3 - 0 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used