A. Blockx vs F. Cobolli — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · · Sept. 4, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Cobolli (moneyline) at 2.00 in A. Blockx vs F. Cobolli (US Open on 2026-09-04). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Blockx 2.00 · F. Cobolli 1.80

Bot bet

F. Cobolli (moneyline) @ 2.00 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Blockx · F. Cobolli · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Blockx F. Cobolli
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
45.8% 54.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
31.6% 68.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
78.3% 21.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
50.8% 49.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
47.4% 52.6%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Blockx hard1823 119–58177
F. Cobolli hard1829 87–77164

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 9, 2026.

Head to head

A. Blockx leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 5, 2026US OpenhardA. Blockx3 - 1
Aug. 17, 2026CincinnatihardF. Cobolli2 - 1
April 8, 2026Monte CarloclayA. Blockx2 - 0

Recent form

A. Blockx

L K. Khachanov 2 - 0 Sept. 9, 2026
W F. Cerundolo 1 - 3 Sept. 7, 2026
W F. Cobolli 3 - 1 Sept. 5, 2026
W M. Trungelliti 3 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W T. Barrios Vera 3 - 0 Aug. 31, 2026

F. Cobolli

L A. Blockx 3 - 1 Sept. 5, 2026
W T. Schoolkate 1 - 3 Sept. 3, 2026
W F. Comesana 2 - 3 Sept. 1, 2026
L A. Fils 0 - 2 Aug. 22, 2026
W T. Paul 1 - 2 Aug. 20, 2026

All Sept. 4, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →