TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Cobolli (moneyline) at 2.00 in A. Blockx vs F. Cobolli (US Open on 2026-09-04). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Blockx | F. Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.8% | 54.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.6% | 68.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
78.3% | 21.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Blockx | hard | 1790 | 119–60 | 179 |
| F. Cobolli | hard | 1781 | 88–81 | 169 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 9, 2026.
A. Blockx leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 5, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Blockx | 3 - 1 |
| Aug. 17, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 |
| April 8, 2026 | Monte Carlo | clay | A. Blockx | 2 - 0 |
| L | Q. Halys | 2 - 1 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | V. Vacherot | 2 - 0 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 3 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 3 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| L | M. Berrettini | 0 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
All Sept. 4, 2026 results & picks →