TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Blinkova vs Y. Starodubtseva (French Open on 2026-05-24) — the market is efficient, with Y. Starodubtseva favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Blinkova | Y. Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.6% | 60.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.4% | 74.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Blinkova | hard | 1646 | 101–95 | 196 |
| Y. Starodubtseva | hard | 1636 | 69–53 | 122 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Blinkova leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Blinkova | 2 - 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | French Open | clay | Y. Starodubtseva | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 25, 2025 | US Open | hard | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Watson | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All May 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used