TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Anisimova (moneyline) in A. Anisimova vs M. Keys (Wimbledon on 2026-07-04).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Anisimova | M. Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.8% | 49.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.2% | 49.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.3% | 54.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anisimova | grass | 1861 | 27–13 | 40 |
| M. Keys | grass | 1905 | 33–11 | 44 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 4, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Keys | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 3, 2025 | Finals - Riyadh | hard | A. Anisimova | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Tagger | 1 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All July 4, 2026 results & picks →