TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Fernandez -3.5 (game handicap) at 1.59 in L. Fernandez vs S. Kenin (Hong Kong on 2026-11-02). Result: VOID.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Fernandez | S. Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
86.3% | 13.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.0% | 16.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
67.8% | 32.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.4% | 20.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.1% | 31.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fernandez | hard | 1934 | 139–90 | 229 |
| S. Kenin | hard | 1571 | 90–95 | 185 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
S. Kenin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 21, 2023 | WTA Guadalajara | hard | S. Kenin | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Rybakina | Walk Over | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Stojsavljevic | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | M. Yamaguchi | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
All Nov. 2, 2026 results & picks →