TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bellucci (moneyline) at 2.58 in Z. Svajda vs M. Bellucci (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Svajda | M. Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.8% | 46.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.2% | 35.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Svajda | hard | 1738 | 149–105 | 254 |
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1720 | 155–102 | 257 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
M. Bellucci leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Gea | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Altmaier | 3 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 1 - 2 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | Z. Piros | 3 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 1 - 2 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| L | J. Mensik | 1 - 2 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →