TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bellucci (moneyline) at 2.58 in Z. Svajda vs M. Bellucci (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Svajda | M. Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.8% | 46.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.2% | 35.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Svajda | hard | 1701 | 150–109 | 259 |
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1788 | 173–108 | 281 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
M. Bellucci leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | M. Bellucci | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Marozsan | 0 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Sept. 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Rolland de Ravel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →