TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Z. Sonmez (moneyline) at 2.27 in D. Kasatkina vs Z. Sonmez (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Kasatkina | Z. Sonmez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.8% | 45.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kasatkina | hard | 1714 | 115–88 | 203 |
| Z. Sonmez | hard | 1726 | 103–77 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 26, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 13, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Kasatkina | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Gibson | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ma | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Stojsavljevic | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Yastremska | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 2 - 1 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →