TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Baez (moneyline) at 2.21 in S. Baez vs G. Dimitrov (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Baez | G. Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.8% | 58.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Baez | hard | 1671 | 49–71 | 120 |
| G. Dimitrov | hard | 1755 | 108–79 | 187 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
S. Baez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | S. Baez | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Hemery | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | T. Machac | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | E. Butvilas | 0 - 2 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| L | H. Rune | 2 - 1 | Sept. 19, 2026 |
| W | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | Sept. 18, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →