TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Baez (moneyline) at 2.21 in S. Baez vs G. Dimitrov (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Baez | G. Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.7% | 56.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.8% | 58.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Baez | hard | 1752 | 46–64 | 110 |
| G. Dimitrov | hard | 1810 | 108–76 | 184 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
S. Baez leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | S. Baez | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 3 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 1 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | H. Grenier | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| L | A. Popyrin | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | Walk Over | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Giustino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →