TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Z. Sonmez vs M. Linette (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with M. Linette favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Z. Sonmez | M. Linette |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.6% | 60.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.8% | 51.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Sonmez | hard | 1722 | 95–68 | 163 |
| M. Linette | hard | 1745 | 119–97 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | M. Linette | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 28, 2025 | Merida | hard | Z. Sonmez | 1 - 0 |
| W | R. Marino | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Zhao | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used