TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs K. Majchrzak (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.34.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Auger-Aliassime | K. Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.7% | 54.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.5% | 73.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.2% | 28.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1996 | 169–85 | 254 |
| K. Majchrzak | hard | 1740 | 93–57 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 13, 2018 | Tashkent | hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Monfils | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Full analysis with web search completed