TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Snigur vs R. Montgomery (Hertogenbosch on 2026-06-12) — the market is efficient, with D. Snigur favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Snigur | R. Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.6% | 73.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
10.1% | 89.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
18.4% | 81.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Snigur | hard | 1728 | 175–93 | 268 |
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 9, 2026.
R. Montgomery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | Hertogenbosch | grass | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Tagger | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Aksu | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. Seidel | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
All June 12, 2026 results & picks →
Qualitative override: The model's 70% probability for Montgomery is statistically flawed; Snigur is the fresher player (2 matches vs 5 in last 14 days) and holds superior general ELO ratings, contradicting the model's heavy support for the underdog.