TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Y. Yuan vs H. Dart (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with Y. Yuan favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Yuan | H. Dart |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.9% | 31.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
88.7% | 11.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
78.8% | 21.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.6% | 23.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | H. Dart | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 19, 2023 | ITF W100 Takasaki Women | hard | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Smith | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Falei | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | K. Siniakova | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Dong | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used