TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ghibaudo vs M. Zheng (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Zheng favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ghibaudo | M. Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.4% | 31.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ghibaudo | hard | 1515 | 92–72 | 164 |
| M. Zheng | hard | 1772 | 67–35 | 102 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
M. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Duran | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Added | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | L. Castelnuovo | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Maxted | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Landaluce | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used