TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Pellegrino vs N. Moreno De Alboran (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with A. Pellegrino favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Pellegrino | N. Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.9% | 40.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pellegrino | clay | 1724 | 175–135 | 310 |
| N. Moreno De Alboran | clay | 1615 | 104–64 | 168 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
A. Pellegrino leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Silva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Mayot | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Tobon | 0 - 2 | March 31, 2026 |
| L | G. A. Olivieri | 0 - 2 | March 13, 2026 |
| W | I. Marcondes | 1 - 2 | March 11, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used