TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. P. Ficovich vs S. Travaglia (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with S. Travaglia favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. P. Ficovich | S. Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.4% | 59.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.2% | 60.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. P. Ficovich | clay | 1494 | 121–103 | 224 |
| S. Travaglia | clay | 1612 | 128–103 | 231 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 18, 2026.
S. Travaglia leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | S. Travaglia | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Ouakaa | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | O. Baris | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Krumich | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used