Y. Putintseva vs L. Samsonova — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 13, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Y. Putintseva (moneyline) at 3.40 in Y. Putintseva vs L. Samsonova (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds Y. Putintseva 3.26 · L. Samsonova 1.39

Bot bet

Y. Putintseva (moneyline) @ 3.40 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Y. Putintseva · L. Samsonova · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Y. Putintseva L. Samsonova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
41.4% 58.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
36.4% 63.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
57.1% 42.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
40.6% 59.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
29.9% 70.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Y. Putintseva hard1742 115–94209
L. Samsonova hard1790 34–3569

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.

Head to head

L. Samsonova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 14, 2026CincinnatihardL. Samsonova2 - 1

Recent form

Y. Putintseva

L Q. Zheng 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W B. Bencic 2 - 1 Sept. 1, 2026
L M. Joint 2 - 1 Aug. 24, 2026
W V. Rodriguez 0 - 2 Aug. 22, 2026
L L. Samsonova 1 - 2 Aug. 14, 2026

L. Samsonova

W E. Jacquemot 0 - 2 Sept. 15, 2026
L M. Joint 2 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L C. Gauff 2 - 1 Aug. 16, 2026
W Y. Putintseva 1 - 2 Aug. 14, 2026
L E. Rybakina 1 - 2 Aug. 9, 2026

All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →

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