TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Y. Putintseva (moneyline) at 3.40 in Y. Putintseva vs L. Samsonova (Cincinnati on 2026-08-13). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Y. Putintseva | L. Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.1% | 42.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.9% | 70.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Putintseva | hard | 1796 | 123–97 | 220 |
| L. Samsonova | hard | 1738 | 38–41 | 79 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 29, 2026.
L. Samsonova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 14, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | L. Samsonova | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| W | S. Ishii | 1 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Shubladze | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Watson | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
All Aug. 13, 2026 results & picks →