X. You vs L. Fullana — Prediction & Analysis

Sao Paulo · · Sept. 12, 2026 · 13:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Fullana +4.5 (game handicap) at 2.13 in X. You vs L. Fullana (Sao Paulo on 2026-09-12). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds X. You 1.44 · L. Fullana 2.62

Bot bet

L. Fullana +4.5 (game handicap) @ 2.13 · 0.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: X. You · L. Fullana · head-to-head record · Sao Paulo

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method X. You L. Fullana
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
73.0% 27.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
66.1% 33.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
43.1% 56.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
60.8% 39.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
64.5% 35.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
X. You hard1612 129–117246
L. Fullana hard1411 20–1838

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.

Head to head

X. You leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 12, 2026Sao PaulohardX. You2 - 0

Recent form

X. You

W V. Bosio 2 - 0 Sept. 13, 2026
W L. Fullana 2 - 0 Sept. 12, 2026
L C. Liu 0 - 2 Sept. 8, 2026
L Q. Zheng 2 - 0 Aug. 24, 2026
L E. Gorgodze 1 - 2 Aug. 5, 2026

L. Fullana

L X. You 2 - 0 Sept. 12, 2026
L M. F. Navarro 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
L C. Bohrer Martins 0 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026
W A. Candiotto 0 - 2 Aug. 22, 2026
W M. Souza 2 - 0 Aug. 21, 2026

All Sept. 12, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →