TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Smith +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.15 in A. Smith vs A. Tikhonova (Sao Paulo on 2026-09-12). Result: VOID.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Smith | A. Tikhonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.9% | 51.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.3% | 57.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | hard | 1472 | 43–58 | 101 |
| A. Tikhonova | hard | 1506 | 131–99 | 230 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 14, 2026.
A. Smith leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2024 | W75 Edmond, OK | hard | A. Smith | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Maria | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Jakupovic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Lachinova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| L | W. Falkowska | 2 - 0 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Tona | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | V. Strakhova | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Rapolu | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | I. Oz | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
All Sept. 12, 2026 results & picks →