TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Smith +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.15 in A. Smith vs A. Tikhonova (Sao Paulo on 2026-09-12). Result: VOID.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Smith | A. Tikhonova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.8% | 44.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.9% | 51.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.3% | 57.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | hard | 1454 | 41–56 | 97 |
| A. Tikhonova | hard | 1513 | 123–93 | 216 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 15, 2026.
A. Smith leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2024 | W75 Edmond, OK | hard | A. Smith | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| W | J. Avdeeva | 2 - 0 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Kujovic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| W | A. Aksu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| W | Y. Kitahara | 0 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. F. Urrutia | 0 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | W. Osuigwe | 2 - 0 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 1 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | N. Hibino | 0 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
All Sept. 12, 2026 results & picks →