TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Sachko vs J. Pinnington Jones (French Open on 2026-05-18) — the market is efficient, with J. Pinnington Jones favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Sachko | J. Pinnington Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.6% | 39.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.4% | 37.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
33.8% | 66.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sachko | clay | 1629 | 124–99 | 223 |
| J. Pinnington Jones | hard | 1646 | 74–50 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
V. Sachko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | French Open | clay | V. Sachko | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Giustino | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | J. Draper | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used