TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Mboko vs K. Siniakova (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with V. Mboko favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Mboko | K. Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.1% | 67.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.5% | 54.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.0% | 59.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.2% | 29.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mboko | hard | 2038 | 98–34 | 132 |
| K. Siniakova | hard | 1822 | 101–77 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 24, 2026.
V. Mboko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | V. Mboko | 2 - 1 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 1 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 2 - 1 | May 28, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | May 23, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used