TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Vekic vs N. Osaka (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with N. Osaka favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Vekic | N. Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.6% | 66.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.7% | 76.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.3% | 60.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.1% | 71.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2026.
N. Osaka leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | N. Osaka | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used