TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in I. Jovic vs E. Navarro (French Open on 2026-05-28) — the market is efficient, with I. Jovic favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | I. Jovic | E. Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.8% | 64.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.6% | 40.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.0% | 54.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Jovic | hard | 1850 | 69–32 | 101 |
| E. Navarro | hard | 1713 | 86–63 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 22, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | French Open | clay | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 |
| May 20, 2026 | Strasbourg | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Cristian | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 28, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used