TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Jimenez Kasintseva vs V. Lepchenko (Modena (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with V. Jimenez Kasintseva favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | V. Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.4% | 54.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.8% | 57.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.2% | 56.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jimenez Kasintseva | clay | 1538 | 90–67 | 157 |
| V. Lepchenko | hard | 1587 | 91–76 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.
V. Lepchenko leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 11, 2026 | Modena (Italy) - Qualification | clay | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 |
| March 16, 2026 | Miami | hard | V. Lepchenko | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 28, 2025 | Suzhou | hard | V. Lepchenko | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | S. Sorribes Tormo | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Jones | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Ngounoue | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Petkovic | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used